According to the most recent polling data gathered on a national scale and averaged by RealClearPolitics, a whopping 41.4% of likely Democratic voters say they support Biden over all other Democrats running for president in next year’s primary election.

This gives Biden a 26.8-point advantage over Bernie Sanders, who is the only other candidate who polls in the double digits with 14.6% of Democratic respondents saying they support him for the party’s nomination.

When looking at the betting odds to see who the bookmakers and the public believes will get the nod from Dems in 2020, Biden leads all candidates but by a much smaller margin.

Currently, Bovada lists Biden at +225 ($100 bet wins $225) which gives him a 30.77% chance to win the Democratic nomination when the odds are converted to an implied probability.

Sanders places second in the odds as well and is listed at +325, giving him a 23.53% chance be the party’s pick to be the next President of the United States — only 7.24% behind Biden.

Below you will find the polling data and betting odds — arguably two of the most reliable prediction methods available — for Biden, Sanders, and all of the 2020 Democratic candidates who’ve officially announced their White House bid.

2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Polling Data

RealClearPolitics – May 13, 2019

The following polling data is based on the “RCP average” from April 25 through May 5 and includes numbers from the latest national polls conducted by The Hill/Harris X, Morning Consult, Harvard-Harris, CNN, and Quinnipiac.

• Joe Biden 41.4%
• Bernie Sanders 14.6%
• Elizabeth Warren 8.0%
• Kamala Harris 7.0%
• Pete Buttigieg 6.6%
• Beto O’Rourke 4.4%
• Cory Booker 2.6%
• Amy Klobuchar 1.4%
• Andrew Yang 0.8%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.8%
• Julian Castro 0.8%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.6%
• Tim Ryan 0.6%
• Jay Inslee 0.6%
• John Delaney 0.6%
• John Hickenlooper 0.2%

*All other candidates received less than 0.1%

Odds to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination

Bovada – May 13, 2019

The betting odds below are based on the current “US Presidential Election 2020 – Democratic Candidate” betting line found in the “Politics” section at Bovada Sportsbook. Oddsmakers evaluate each candidates’ chances of winning the nomination and post a betting line that they believe will receive “equal action.” Odds can then fluctuate if more/less public money is placed on one candidate over another.

• Joe Biden +225
• Bernie Sanders +325
• Kamala Harris +500
• Pete Buttigieg +550
• Elizabeth Warren +1200
• Andrew Yang +1400
• Beto O’Rourke +1600
• Cory Booker +2500
• Tulsi Gabbard +2500
• Amy Klobuchar +3300
• Hillary Clinton +4000
• Kirsten Gillibrand +6600
• Julian Castro +8000

At the beginning of February, Former Democratic Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke told Oprah in a televised interview that he’ll decide whether to enter the 2020 presidential race “by the end of this month.”

And the oddsmakers certainly like his chances at winning the 2020 presidential election, placing him in either the 3rd or 4th spot and giving him the best odds out of all the top candidates that have yet to announce — even beating out former Vice President Joe Biden, who also hasn’t decided on a 2020 run.

Beto O’Rourke – Odds to Win 2020 Presidential Election

• Bovada +800
• BetOnline +900

Now, with only a couple days remaining, O’Rourke hasn’t given any hints on what his decision will be. Even another run at the Senate is on the table since he could take a safer bet and challenge Republican John Cornyn for his seat next year. Ted Cruz defeated O’Rourke by a slim margin when his Senate seat in Texas was up for grabs during the 2018 midterms.

“I’m trying to figure out how I can best serve this country, where I can do the greatest good for the United States of America,” O’Rourke said when asked if running for the other Senate seat was a possibility. “So, yeah, I’m thinking through that and it, you know, may involve running for the presidency. It may involve something else.”

But O’Rourke stated that he doesn’t want to be held to the “end of the month” deadline set by himself but said he still expects to make a decision by the end of February as recent as last week.

“I won’t be limited by, you know, the end of this month,” O’Rourke said. “But I expect to be able to get to a decision by the end of this month.”

And according to CNN, he told reporters in Spanish that “he is not taking the Democratic vice presidential nomination off the table.”

O’Rourke has certainly made it a point to publicly challenge President Donald Trump recently — especially on his U.S.-Mexico border wall — and even organized a rally much larger than the president’s when he came to El Paso to have his own rally prior to declaring the national emergency to secure funds to construct a border wall.

Whether O’Rourke announces that he’ll enter the enormous field of Democrats vying for the party’s 2020 nomination by the end of February is not particularly make or break for his presidential odds.

However, when you consider the millions of dollars being raised for the campaigns of his competition — including Bernie Sanders raising $10 million in just one week — one has to think that the odds of him winning the White House in 2020 go down if he doesn’t decide by the end of February and as each second passes on the Beto O’Clock.

On Tuesday, Feb. 19, the independent senator from Vermont announced that he is running for President of the United States and will seek the 2020 Democratic nomination after several months of speculation from the public.

“I’m running for president. I am asking you to join me today as part of an unprecedented and historic grassroots campaign that will begin with at least 1 million people from across the country,” Sanders wrote in a tweet.

Sanders is currently listed at +1000 in the recently updated odds at Bovada and is one of the top betting favorites to win the 2020 presidential election. Only Donald Trump (+200), Kamala Harris (+500), Beto O’Rourke (+800), and Joe Biden (+800) have more favorable odds of taking the White House at this time.

He enters an ever-growing field of Democratic candidates seeking the 2020 presidential bid. Of the favorites, only O’Rourke and Biden have yet to officially declared on whether they will seek the party’s nomination.

The announcement from the 77-year old candidate first came in an interview on Vermont Public Radio and then through an email to supporters and via social media.

Sanders said his decision to run in 2020 was originally based on whether he was the best candidate to defeat President Trump in the general election next year, describing him as “a pathological liar, a fraud, a racist, a sexist, a xenophobe and someone who is undermining American democracy as he leads us in an authoritarian direction.”

However, over time and leading up to the announcement, Sanders said the focus for his campaign became much more important than any one person, including himself.

“Our campaign is not only about defeating Donald Trump, the most dangerous president in modern American history. It is not only about winning the Democratic nomination and the general election,” Sanders said. “Our campaign is about transforming our country and creating a government based on the principles of economic, social, racial and environmental justice.”

Sanders also had a message the rich and those who have controlled politicians in the past through lobbying and political action committees.

“They may have the money and the power. We have the people.”